Stoke City vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CRE
0 - 2
STO
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
WHU
29%
28%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
STO
2 - 0
PLY
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
DER
3 - 1
STO
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
STO
1 - 3
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
WAT
0 - 0
SHE
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
ROT
0 - 1
WAT
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
WAT
1 - 2
LEE
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
PLY
1 - 0
WAT
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
3 - 1
WAT
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |