Stevenage vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 1
STE
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
STE
0 - 0
CUM
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
REA
3 - 0
STE
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
STE
36%
27%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
STE
0 - 0
REA
19%
20%
62%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SWI
4 - 3
CRE
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
COV
3 - 1
SWI
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SWI
1 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
SWI
27%
25%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 0
NOT
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |