League Two Round 15

Stevenage vs Port Vale analysis

Stevenage Port Vale
53 ELO 51
7.2% Tilt -6.8%
2181º General ELO ranking 2490º
60º Country ELO ranking 65º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Stevenage
23.2%
Draw
20.2%
Port Vale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
Stevenage
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.2%
Win probability
Port Vale
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stevenage
-1%
+16%
Port Vale

ELO progression

Stevenage
Port Vale
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stevenage
Stevenage
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2018
STE
Stevenage
0 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
53%
23%
24%
54 52 2 0
13 Oct. 2018
NEW
Newport County
2 - 1
Stevenage
STE
54%
24%
22%
54 57 3 0
09 Oct. 2018
STE
Stevenage
0 - 8
Charlton Athletic
CHA
36%
24%
40%
56 58 2 -2
06 Oct. 2018
STE
Stevenage
3 - 1
Colchester United
COL
46%
25%
29%
55 57 2 +1
02 Oct. 2018
EXE
Exeter City
1 - 0
Stevenage
STE
58%
24%
18%
56 60 4 -1

Matches

Port Vale
Port Vale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2018
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 1
Port Vale
POR
63%
22%
16%
50 57 7 0
16 Oct. 2018
POR
Port Vale
2 - 0
Middlesbrough U21
MID
68%
18%
14%
49 35 14 +1
13 Oct. 2018
POR
Port Vale
2 - 6
Lincoln City
LIN
19%
26%
55%
50 64 14 -1
09 Oct. 2018
POR
Port Vale
1 - 0
Burton Albion
BUR
21%
23%
56%
49 59 10 +1
06 Oct. 2018
GRI
Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Port Vale
POR
34%
27%
39%
51 47 4 -2