FA Cup 1/128
Global 1-2
Stevenage vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
STE
5 - 3
GAT
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
STE
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
KET
1 - 1
STE
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
STE
0 - 0
WRE
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
STE
3 - 1
SAL
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 2
ROT
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 2
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
STE
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
DAG
1 - 1
POR
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
CHE
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |