SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SSN
4 - 2
KLE
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SFB
2 - 3
SSN
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SSN
3 - 3
VEL
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FSV
0 - 2
SSN
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
SSN
2 - 0
SFN
70%
16%
13%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
JDH
1 - 2
SFB
17%
18%
65%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
SFB
2 - 3
SSN
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TDV
4 - 1
SFB
24%
19%
57%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SFB
1 - 0
1FC
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
VEL
3 - 2
SFB
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |