Stade Brestois vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
BRE
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
BRE
0 - 3
STR
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NAN
3 - 1
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 0
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ANG
3 - 2
BRE
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
ACM
0 - 3
LIL
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
LIL
2 - 2
CEL
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 4
LIL
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |