FC St Pauli vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 0
STP
38%
27%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
STP
4 - 0
F95
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
BOC
1 - 1
STP
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
STP
1 - 0
SCF
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FCU
3 - 3
STP
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
FCN
2 - 1
EBT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FCU
3 - 3
FCN
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
FCN
0 - 0
KSC
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
FCN
5 - 1
F95
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MSV
0 - 0
FCN
29%
26%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |