FC St Pauli vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
STP
1 - 2
ERZ
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
KOL
4 - 1
STP
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
STP
3 - 2
FCU
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
DAR
2 - 1
STP
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
STP
3 - 2
WEH
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ING
2 - 1
RTV
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ERZ
0 - 3
ING
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
ING
0 - 1
MAG
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
SGF
0 - 1
ING
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
ING
3 - 1
HAL
41%
25%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |