FC St Pauli vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
80.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
STP
2 - 2
ERZ
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
HOL
3 - 0
STP
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
F95
1 - 1
STP
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
STP
2 - 1
S04
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FCN
2 - 3
STP
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
BVB
5 - 1
SCF
66%
19%
14%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
EIN
2 - 3
BVB
24%
21%
55%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
HER
3 - 2
BVB
11%
16%
73%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 0
SGF
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
RTV
1 - 1
BVB
11%
16%
74%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |