Bundesliga Round 21

FC St Pauli vs Bayern München analysis

FC St Pauli Bayern München
73 ELO 92
-4.6% Tilt 14.1%
111º General ELO ranking
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.7%
FC St Pauli
22.9%
Draw
62.4%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
FC St Pauli
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.4%
Win probability
Bayern München
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC St Pauli
+4%
-1%
Bayern München

ELO progression

FC St Pauli
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2002
ROS
Hansa Rostock
1 - 0
FC St Pauli
STP
60%
22%
19%
72 81 9 0
26 Jan. 2002
STP
FC St Pauli
3 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
20%
23%
57%
71 85 14 +1
18 Dec. 2001
HER
Hertha BSC
2 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
66%
19%
15%
71 87 16 0
15 Dec. 2001
FCN
Nürnberg
0 - 0
FC St Pauli
STP
55%
23%
22%
71 76 5 0
08 Dec. 2001
STP
FC St Pauli
0 - 3
Werder Bremen
BRE
19%
23%
58%
71 86 15 0

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2002
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
54%
23%
23%
92 90 2 0
30 Jan. 2002
KAI
Kaiserslautern
0 - 0
Bayern München
BYM
29%
25%
47%
92 86 6 0
26 Jan. 2002
S04
Schalke 04
5 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
27%
26%
47%
92 87 5 0
23 Jan. 2002
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
69%
19%
12%
92 86 6 0
18 Dec. 2001
BYM
Bayern München
0 - 0
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
72%
17%
11%
92 81 11 0