FC St Pauli vs Arminia Bielefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
WIE
1 - 6
STP
8%
15%
77%
|
71 | 31 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SGD
1 - 0
STP
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
LUB
0 - 3
STP
9%
17%
74%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
STP
0 - 2
EBT
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
STU
2 - 1
STP
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARB
4 - 4
FCU
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ROT
2 - 2
ARB
8%
15%
77%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
ARB
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
KSC
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |