FC St Pauli vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
60.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
FCU
4 - 1
STP
49%
25%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
WEH
3 - 2
STP
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
STP
2 - 0
DAR
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
MAG
1 - 2
STP
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
STP
2 - 0
STO
28%
27%
46%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
KOL
3 - 1
ERZ
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BFC
1 - 9
KOL
4%
11%
85%
|
79 | 37 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 1
FCU
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
RTV
0 - 2
KOL
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
KOL
5 - 3
M05
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |