FC St Pauli vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
HOF
2 - 2
STP
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
STP
2 - 2
SCF
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
STP
2 - 4
M05
33%
27%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
BYM
3 - 0
STP
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
STP
1 - 0
KAI
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
KOL
3 - 0
BRE
18%
21%
62%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
KAI
1 - 1
KOL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 2
MSV
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
S04
3 - 0
KOL
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 0
EIN
34%
26%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |