St Patrick's vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
BRW
2 - 3
STP
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
CAO
1 - 0
STP
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BRW
1 - 0
STP
27%
26%
48%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
STP
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
STP
4 - 0
WEX
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
CAO
1 - 2
DER
64%
20%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
DER
0 - 2
SLR
52%
26%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
DER
1 - 0
BOH
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
DER
2 - 0
SLR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
DER
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |