Scottish League Cup Round 1

St. Mirren vs Third Lanark analysis

St. Mirren Third Lanark
73 ELO 69
5.5% Tilt 9.2%
583º General ELO ranking 34390º
11º Country ELO ranking 209º
ELO win probability
64.5%
St. Mirren
17.1%
Draw
18.4%
Third Lanark

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
St. Mirren
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.1%
18.4%
Win probability
Third Lanark
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Third Lanark
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 1959
STM
St. Mirren
4 - 1
Third Lanark
TLA
56%
20%
25%
73 70 3 0
08 Apr. 1959
STM
St. Mirren
4 - 3
Partick Thistle
PAR
50%
22%
28%
72 77 5 +1
28 Mar. 1959
STI
Stirling Albion
3 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
39%
24%
36%
73 60 13 -1
25 Mar. 1959
STM
St. Mirren
3 - 3
Airdrieonians
AIR
53%
21%
27%
73 72 1 0
21 Mar. 1959
HIB
Hibernian FC
0 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
62%
19%
20%
73 77 4 0

Matches

Third Lanark
Third Lanark
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 1959
KIL
Kilmarnock
4 - 0
Third Lanark
TLA
55%
21%
24%
69 77 8 0
18 Apr. 1959
STM
St. Mirren
4 - 1
Third Lanark
TLA
56%
20%
25%
70 73 3 -1
11 Apr. 1959
TLA
Third Lanark
3 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
63%
18%
19%
70 67 3 0
28 Mar. 1959
TLA
Third Lanark
7 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
61%
19%
20%
69 67 2 +1
24 Mar. 1959
TLA
Third Lanark
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
52%
23%
26%
68 78 10 +1