SPL Round 2

St. Mirren vs Motherwell analysis

St. Mirren Motherwell
66 ELO 64
8.1% Tilt -4.8%
583º General ELO ranking 634º
11º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
66.4%
St. Mirren
19.3%
Draw
14.3%
Motherwell

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
St. Mirren
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.3%
Win probability
Motherwell
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+2%
+6%
Motherwell

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Motherwell
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1916
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
58%
24%
19%
65 70 5 0
26 Aug. 1916
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
70%
17%
13%
66 69 3 -1
19 Aug. 1916
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 5
Celtic
CEL
27%
24%
50%
67 83 16 -1
29 Apr. 1916
TLA
Third Lanark
3 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
76%
16%
8%
67 83 16 0
22 Apr. 1916
STM
St. Mirren
5 - 0
Hamilton Academical
HAM
49%
24%
27%
66 73 7 +1

Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1916
MHE
Motherwell
4 - 2
Dundee
DUN
23%
22%
54%
63 83 20 0
26 Aug. 1916
AIR
Airdrieonians
3 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
68%
19%
13%
63 69 6 0
19 Aug. 1916
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
69%
18%
13%
64 63 1 -1
29 Apr. 1916
GRE
Greenock Morton
1 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
87%
9%
4%
64 83 19 0
22 Apr. 1916
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 1
Queen's Park
QUE
70%
17%
13%
64 59 5 0