St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1910 |
ABE
2 - 1
STM
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
STM
3 - 1
QUE
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1910 |
CEL
5 - 0
STM
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1910 |
HAM
2 - 0
STM
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1910 |
STM
2 - 1
RAI
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1910 |
HOM
2 - 2
AIR
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1910 |
HAM
1 - 2
HOM
29%
23%
49%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1910 |
ABE
3 - 2
HOM
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1910 |
HOM
2 - 3
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1910 |
HOM
2 - 0
HIB
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |