Scottish Championship Round 8

St. Mirren vs Falkirk analysis

St. Mirren Falkirk
53 ELO 68
5.4% Tilt 1.4%
585º General ELO ranking 435º
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.7%
St. Mirren
24.5%
Draw
49.9%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
St. Mirren
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
49.9%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Mirren
+7%
-3%
Falkirk

ELO progression

St. Mirren
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2003
ICT
Inverness CT
2 - 0
St. Mirren
STM
78%
14%
8%
53 71 18 0
20 Sep. 2003
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 2
Queen of the South
QOS
35%
25%
41%
54 61 7 -1
13 Sep. 2003
BRE
Brechin City
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
59%
22%
19%
53 57 4 +1
02 Sep. 2003
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 2
St. Johnstone
STJ
33%
26%
41%
54 67 13 -1
30 Aug. 2003
STM
St. Mirren
2 - 1
Clyde
CLY
28%
26%
46%
53 68 15 +1

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2003
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 3
St. Johnstone
STJ
60%
22%
18%
69 67 2 0
23 Sep. 2003
ARB
Arbroath
3 - 4
Falkirk
FAL
20%
24%
57%
70 49 21 -1
20 Sep. 2003
CLY
Clyde
1 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
48%
25%
27%
69 69 0 +1
13 Sep. 2003
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 2
Ross County FC
ROS
68%
19%
13%
69 61 8 0
30 Aug. 2003
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
32%
26%
43%
69 58 11 0