St. Michael vs Bleiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
WOL
1 - 0
MIC
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
MIC
3 - 1
SVK
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
VOL
2 - 0
MIC
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
MIC
0 - 3
KLA
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LEN
7 - 2
MIC
63%
20%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bleiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
BLE
2 - 3
TRE
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
FEL
2 - 1
BLE
48%
23%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
BLE
1 - 3
SVJ
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
KAC
4 - 2
BLE
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2020 |
BLE
2 - 2
WOL
2%
8%
90%
|
23 | 79 | 56 | +1 |