St Margaretsbury vs Stansted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Margaretsbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
STM
1 - 2
WOT
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ENF
0 - 0
STM
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
STM
2 - 3
RED
16%
17%
67%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LOA
1 - 1
STM
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
STM
5 - 1
SAW
80%
12%
8%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stansted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
HOD
76%
14%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
STA
9 - 2
SPO
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
STA
1 - 2
WAL
37%
22%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
TAK
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
STA
5 - 1
ILF
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | +1 |