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Austria Fourth Division. Burgenland, Matchday 17

St. Margarethen Ritzing
8 ELO 20
-9% Tilt 123%
9829º General ELO ranking 6316º
212º Country ELO ranking 113º
ELO win probability
17.4%
St. Margarethen
18.5%
Draw
64.2%
Ritzing

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
St. Margarethen
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
64.2%
Win probability
Ritzing
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Margarethen
+16%
+82%
Ritzing

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Siegendorf
41
63
31%
FC Deutschkreutz
39
62
30%
Kohfidisch
32
48
13%
Leithaprodersdorf
30
55
11%
Ritzing
29
51
11%
Bad Sauerbrunn
27
47
10%
Parndorf
24
47
12%
Pinkafeld
24
41
9%
Oberwart / Rotenturm
23
42
9%
St. Margarethen
10º
18
32
12º
10%
Horitschon
11º
17
34
11º
10%
Markt Allhau
12º
17
29
16º
10%
Klingenbach
13º
17
31
13º
11%
SV Eltendorf
14º
15
34
10º
11%
Oberpetersdorf
15º
15
30
14º
12%
Güssing
16º
15
30
15º
11%
Expected probabilities
St. Margarethen
Ritzing
Champion
0% 11%
Mid-table
40% 81%
Could qualify for next round
40% 6%
Relegation
20% 2%

ELO progression

Ritzing
RIT
St. Margarethen
STM
Güssing
GUS
Bad Sauerbrunn
BAS
Oberpetersdorf
OBE
Oberwart / Rotenturm
OBR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Margarethen
St. Margarethen
1%
X%
2%
ELO STM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Feb. 2020
NEU
Neusiedl
1 - 2
St. Margarethen
STM
47%
27%
26%
133 215 82 +27
31 Jan. 2020
DRA
Drassburg
2 - 3
St. Margarethen
STM
53%
24%
23%
100 472 372 +32
15 Nov. 2019
PAR
Parndorf
6 - 0
St. Margarethen
STM
49%
26%
25%
102 213 111 -2
19 Nov. 2019
STM
St. Margarethen
0 - 0
Leithaprodersdorf
LEI
41%
28%
31%
103 154 -51 0
08 Nov. 2019
ASK
Kohfidisch
1 - 0
St. Margarethen
STM
47%
27%
26%
103 148 45 -1

Matches

Ritzing
Ritzing
1%
X%
2%
ELO RIT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Nov. 2019
RIT
Ritzing
2 - 1
Oberpetersdorf
OBE
47%
27%
26%
262 168 94 +1
09 Nov. 2019
RIT
Ritzing
1 - 2
Güssing
GUS
49%
26%
25%
263 156 107 -1
01 Nov. 2019
SVE
SV Eltendorf
1 - 0
Ritzing
RIT
41%
28%
31%
264 205 -59 -1
25 Oct. 2019
PAR
Parndorf
5 - 3
Ritzing
RIT
46%
27%
28%
265 211 -54 -1
19 Oct. 2019
RIT
Ritzing
1 - 1
Kohfidisch
ASK
49%
26%
25%
265 146 119 0