St. Gallen vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
3º
60
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 12 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 7 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 7 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 3
STG
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
YOB
3 - 1
STG
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
STG
1 - 1
SER
46%
23%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 1
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 1
STG
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SER
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 3
ZUR
35%
25%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 2
YOB
41%
25%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ZUR
0 - 1
STG
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |