St. Gallen vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 3
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
STG
2 - 2
ZUR
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NEX
2 - 1
STG
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
STG
0 - 1
SIO
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
GCZ
1 - 3
STG
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2011 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 1
YOB
32%
24%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GCZ
2 - 1
FCL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FCL
3 - 2
BEL
67%
19%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
FCL
0 - 1
THU
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |