Farul Constanța vs Sepsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
4º
4º
34
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 1
SFC
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 1
RAP
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
5 - 1
CLU
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 2
SFC
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sepsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CLU
2 - 1
SSG
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
2 - 2
STB
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 3
CSU
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
RAP
0 - 1
SSG
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |