Lega Pro Round 19

Virtus Lanciano vs Benevento analysis

Virtus Lanciano Benevento
53 ELO 61
-12.4% Tilt -8.1%
20314º General ELO ranking 843º
497º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
31.2%
Virtus Lanciano
28.3%
Draw
40.6%
Benevento

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
Virtus Lanciano
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
40.6%
Win probability
Benevento
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Virtus Lanciano
Benevento
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Virtus Lanciano
Virtus Lanciano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2009
SOR
Sorrento
2 - 1
Virtus Lanciano
VIR
52%
26%
23%
54 57 3 0
21 Dec. 2008
VIR
Virtus Lanciano
0 - 2
Perugia
PRG
31%
28%
40%
55 62 7 -1
14 Dec. 2008
GAL
Gallipoli
3 - 1
Virtus Lanciano
VIR
59%
23%
18%
56 60 4 -1
07 Dec. 2008
VIR
Virtus Lanciano
5 - 2
Calcio Foggia
USF
27%
28%
45%
54 63 9 +2
30 Nov. 2008
JUS
Juve Stabia
0 - 2
Virtus Lanciano
VIR
46%
28%
26%
53 55 2 +1

Matches

Benevento
Benevento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2009
BEN
Benevento
1 - 0
Perugia
PRG
37%
29%
34%
60 62 2 0
21 Dec. 2008
BEN
Benevento
2 - 0
Potenza SC
POT
58%
26%
16%
59 51 8 +1
14 Dec. 2008
CAV
Cavese 1919
1 - 1
Benevento
BEN
47%
26%
27%
59 60 1 0
07 Dec. 2008
BEN
Benevento
2 - 1
Juve Stabia
JUS
50%
28%
23%
59 53 6 0
30 Nov. 2008
ARZ
SS Arezzo
4 - 1
Benevento
BEN
49%
27%
24%
60 64 4 -1