Sambenedettese vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
32.3%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.3%
24.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
EMP
1 - 1
SSS
52%
29%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
SSS
2 - 0
PES
40%
32%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
CES
1 - 0
SSS
60%
25%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 1
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
SSS
1 - 1
BAR
39%
34%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 1
VAR
51%
29%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
VAR
2 - 3
BAR
49%
29%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
PIS
4 - 0
VAR
56%
28%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
TRI
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |