Squires Gate vs Ashton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
61.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Squires Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SQU
2 - 5
HAN
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
WES
2 - 3
SQU
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAL
0 - 1
SQU
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
SQU
2 - 4
BAR
22%
22%
56%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 2
SQU
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ashton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ASH
0 - 5
HAL
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ASH
7 - 2
MOS
17%
18%
66%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +3 |
| 23 Aug. 2016 |
ASH
2 - 2
WOR
8%
12%
80%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 2
ASH
85%
9%
6%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BLA
0 - 1
ASH
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |