Spy vs Nismes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 3
SPY
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SPY
3 - 3
FLA
82%
12%
7%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MOL
2 - 3
SPY
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 2
SPY
15%
18%
66%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FEH
1 - 5
SPY
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Nismes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 0
NIS
27%
21%
52%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
NIS
0 - 0
CHE
28%
20%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
NIS
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CIN
3 - 1
NIS
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LOY
2 - 0
NIS
53%
20%
27%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |