Sportivo Luqueño vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
LIB
1 - 0
LQE
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
LQE
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
LQE
1 - 1
SAN
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 2
LQE
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
LQE
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
CCP
3 - 2
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
34%
25%
42%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CCP
1 - 1
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CCP
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |