Sportivo Italiano vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ITA
36%
30%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAR
20%
26%
54%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 0
ITA
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
RIE
53%
26%
22%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 4
ITA
74%
18%
8%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 1
FEN
46%
26%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
VSC
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VSC
1 - 3
SUA
38%
29%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -3 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
PLA
2 - 1
VSC
52%
26%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
VSC
0 - 1
ARM
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |