Sportist General Toshevo vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
36.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
12º
12º
25
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportist General Toshevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SGT
5 - 0
DOR
24%
20%
56%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 0
SGT
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SGT
2 - 1
UST
27%
20%
54%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LOR
4 - 0
SGT
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SGT
0 - 0
SVE
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UST
1 - 2
CMV
11%
15%
73%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
UST
0 - 4
CHE
5%
14%
81%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UST
2 - 2
FKR
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SGT
2 - 1
UST
27%
20%
54%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UST
1 - 2
FSV
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |