Sporting CP vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.8%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
15%
4.5%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SPB
2 - 3
SCP
24%
25%
52%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
RIO
4 - 0
SCP
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2004 |
SCP
2 - 0
ALV
70%
20%
10%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 2
SCP
27%
24%
49%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
BOA
1 - 2
EST
71%
21%
9%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
SPB
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
EST
1 - 4
RIO
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ALV
3 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |