Sporting L E B vs Real Qcm 2003 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting L E B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
LUI
4 - 2
SPO
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 2
SPO
80%
13%
7%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPO
85%
11%
5%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
CAS
20%
22%
58%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GES
2 - 0
SPO
82%
12%
5%
|
8 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Real Qcm 2003
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
REA
1 - 0
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
REA
0 - 0
SOR
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
OFF
1 - 0
REA
41%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
REA
0 - 2
ATL
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 2
REA
24%
23%
53%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |