Real Sporting vs Ponferradina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 2
RSO
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
RCF
77%
17%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
7 - 0
GIN
84%
13%
3%
|
74 | 24 | 50 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
SPB
80%
15%
5%
|
74 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 2
ALM
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
PON
2 - 2
MLL
24%
28%
48%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
SAB
2 - 0
PON
31%
29%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
PON
1 - 4
ESP
19%
26%
55%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
PON
34%
29%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |