Real Sporting vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
ATH
3 - 0
SPO
66%
20%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 3
GRA
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 2
SPO
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 2
BET
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
RAY
2 - 1
SPO
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MAL
2 - 0
DEP
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VCF
3 - 0
MAL
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAL
3 - 1
RSO
51%
26%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RMA
0 - 0
MAL
90%
8%
3%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 1
VIL
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |