Real Sporting vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
VCF
3 - 1
SPO
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
SPO
1 - 1
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
SPO
1 - 1
GIM
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
GIM
4 - 2
SPO
51%
21%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
VCF
6 - 0
SPO
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
ATH
1 - 3
RSO
82%
10%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
CEL
5 - 1
ATH
48%
21%
30%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1947 |
ATH
0 - 1
RMA
74%
14%
12%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1947 |
RMA
3 - 2
ATH
60%
19%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1947 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATH
49%
21%
31%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |