Real Sporting vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAD
0 - 1
SPO
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
CDT
0 - 1
SPO
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 0
EIB
58%
25%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CIU
3 - 2
SPO
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 0
NUM
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
ALM
0 - 0
CDT
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
EIB
1 - 0
ALM
48%
28%
23%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ALM
2 - 3
CIU
65%
21%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 3
VAD
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
NUM
0 - 0
ALM
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |