Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 4-6
Sporting Fingal vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fingal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2010 |
SFI
1 - 2
DRO
63%
22%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 2
SFI
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
BRW
0 - 3
SFI
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
SFI
1 - 1
SLR
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2010 |
BOH
1 - 1
SFI
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 2
SFI
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
OLH
1 - 2
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |