Sporting Cristal vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
VAL
1 - 0
SPC
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
SPC
1 - 2
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SPC
2 - 0
CAU
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2005 |
PAC
2 - 0
SPC
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 2
SPC
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 1
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
SBO
1 - 1
SAM
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SPO
2 - 1
SAM
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VAL
0 - 0
SAM
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |