Sporting CP II vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
SCP
44%
29%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
SCP
3 - 1
BMA
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
SCP
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 1
SCP
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SCP
2 - 1
POR
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 1
ATL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
TRO
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
TRO
0 - 0
BEN
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
UNM
5 - 3
TRO
53%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 2
BEL
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |