SC Covilha vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
SCF
0 - 1
SPC
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CES
1 - 3
SPC
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
3 - 1
PEN
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 0
AVE
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 3
CHA
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
TON
0 - 0
SCP
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ELE
2 - 3
TON
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
TON
1 - 1
ARO
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
TON
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
TON
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |