SC Covilha vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
SPB
3 - 0
SPC
59%
21%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
SPC
1 - 1
VST
53%
21%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
BEL
1 - 0
SPC
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
LEX
6 - 0
SPC
44%
23%
34%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
SPC
0 - 1
SCP
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
LGC
2 - 3
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
BOA
4 - 2
LGC
55%
22%
24%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
LGC
1 - 0
VIT
49%
23%
29%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1960 |
SPB
0 - 0
LGC
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1959 |
LGC
1 - 1
VST
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |