Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Gourbeyre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
4º
7º
4º
18
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 21 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 3 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
9.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Baie-Mahault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 1
CBM
48%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CBM
2 - 0
STL
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
CBM
32%
23%
45%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CBM
3 - 3
SIR
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
CBM
2 - 1
ASD
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gourbeyre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GOU
3 - 1
CSC
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 2
VIE
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
RSG
1 - 1
GOU
44%
23%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CER
0 - 2
GOU
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 1
CBM
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |