Sporting Braga vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
VIT
2 - 3
SPB
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
SPB
6 - 0
SEI
72%
15%
13%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VST
5 - 1
SPB
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
VAR
55%
22%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 2
ACA
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
FAB
0 - 1
LGC
77%
14%
8%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
LGC
2 - 1
LEX
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
SCP
2 - 0
LGC
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
LGC
6 - 0
TOR
63%
20%
16%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |