Q. Europa League Play-off. Final
Global 5-3
Sporting Braga vs FH Hafnarfjordur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 2
SPB
21%
27%
52%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
FHH
1 - 2
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 1
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
SLB
3 - 1
SPB
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 1
AIK
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FH Hafnarfjordur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
FHH
1 - 2
SPB
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
IBV
1 - 0
FHH
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
FHH
2 - 1
VAL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
KAA
0 - 0
FHH
28%
27%
46%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
FHH
0 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |