Sporting Braga vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
SCP
4 - 1
SPB
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
SPB
2 - 0
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
FCP
5 - 2
SPB
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SPB
1 - 0
CDM
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
EST
0 - 1
SCP
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 1
EST
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
EST
2 - 1
FCP
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1976 |
CDM
0 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
EST
0 - 0
BMA
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |