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Oberliga. Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar, Matchday 6

Sportfreunde Eisbachtal vs Ahrweiler analysis

Sportfreunde Eisbachtal Ahrweiler
11 ELO 6
100% Tilt -53%
9957º General ELO ranking 11336º
275º Country ELO ranking 396º
ELO win probability
85%
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
11%
Draw
4%
Ahrweiler

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4%
Win probability
Ahrweiler
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
Their league position
Ahrweiler
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
21º
17º
6
21º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
21º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Schott Mainz
22
45
32%
FK Pirmasens
22
43
23%
TuS Koblenz
20
36
9%
Engers 07
18
43
10%
Diefflen
17
40
12%
Kaiserslautern II
16
38
7%
Gonsenheim
15
33
9%
Mechtersheim
13
36
6%
Mülheim-Kärlich
13
32
10º
7%
Auersmacher
10º
12
32
9%
Arminia Ludwigshafen
11º
12
25
11º
7%
Karbach
12º
11
24
13º
6%
Alemannia Waldalgesheim
13º
11
19
16º
7%
Pfeddersheim
14º
10
24
12º
6%
FSV Jägersburg
15º
10
18
20º
7%
Hertha Wiesbach
16º
9
19
18º
7%
Morlautern
17º
9
19
17º
8%
Dudenhofen
18º
8
24
14º
6%
SV 07 Elversberg II
19º
8
18
19º
7%
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
20º
7
19
15º
7%
Ahrweiler
21º
6
13
22º
12%
Kirchberg
22º
5
17
21º
12%
Expected probabilities
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
Ahrweiler
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
1% 0%
Relegation playoffs
19% 12%
Mid-table
81% 88%

ELO progression

Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
EIS
Ahrweiler
ABC
Schott Mainz
SMA
Karbach
KAR
Kirchberg
SCK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
1%
X%
2%
ELO EIS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Aug. 2022
AWA
Alemannia Waldalgesheim
2 - 0
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
EIS
44%
27%
29%
165 167 2 -1
20 Aug. 2022
EIS
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
3 - 2
Mülheim-Kärlich
SGM
46%
27%
27%
165 174 -9 +1
17 Aug. 2022
ENG
Engers 07
2 - 0
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
EIS
45%
27%
29%
166 88 -78 -1
13 Aug. 2022
TUS
TuS Koblenz
3 - 0
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
EIS
46%
27%
28%
167 131 -36 -1
06 Aug. 2022
EIS
Sportfreunde Eisbachtal
3 - 2
Gonsenheim
GON
44%
27%
29%
166 140 26 +1

Matches

Ahrweiler
Ahrweiler
1%
X%
2%
ELO ABC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2022
ABC
Ahrweiler
0 - 3
Schott Mainz
SMA
44%
27%
29%
101 85 16 -1
12 Aug. 2022
AWA
Alemannia Waldalgesheim
1 - 1
Ahrweiler
ABC
46%
27%
26%
100 169 69 0
05 Aug. 2022
ABC
Ahrweiler
2 - 2
Mülheim-Kärlich
SGM
41%
28%
31%
100 175 -75 0
30 Jul. 2022
ABC
Ahrweiler
0 - 3
TuS Koblenz
TUS
46%
27%
28%
102 126 -24 -1
13 Jul. 2022
KMA
Kaan-Marienborn
2 - 0
Ahrweiler
ABC
23%
24%
53%
1163 64 -1099 -62