Sport Recife vs Rio Negro AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1974 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPO
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
SPO
2 - 2
AMF
41%
29%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1974 |
SPO
0 - 2
NAC
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
FOR
3 - 3
SPO
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
SPO
1 - 4
COR
34%
27%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Negro AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIO
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1974 |
RIO
1 - 1
COR
25%
31%
44%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
RIO
2 - 0
SAN
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1974 |
SAN
3 - 0
RIO
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1974 |
RIO
1 - 0
FOR
42%
28%
29%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |