Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 4-2
Sport Recife vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
SPO
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
SPO
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
PPE
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
COR
4 - 3
SPO
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ATP
1 - 1
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 1
AMF
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
SPO
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
BAH
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BAH
4 - 1
BOA
65%
23%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |