Copa do Nordeste Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Sport Recife vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
3 - 1
SPO
11%
19%
70%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPO
12%
20%
67%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPO
6%
15%
79%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
BOA
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
3 - 1
SPO
11%
19%
70%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
3 - 1
IPB
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAM
79%
15%
6%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
TRE
0 - 0
CAM
27%
28%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
AUT
3 - 5
CAM
32%
27%
40%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |